BTC Risk Metrics

Overview

- Estimates the risk of BTC price versus the USD.
- 0 is the lowest risk, 1 is the highest risk.
- Historically, buying when the risk was low and selling when the risk was high would have yielded good ROI.
- The risk bands are 0.1 in width and are highlighted on the plot.

Typical Strategy

A weighted DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) strategy based on BTC risk levels:

x = Buy amount per DCA interval, y = 1/10th total BTC held by the user.

Similar strategy for ETH (use at your own risk)